Aviation Forecasts Discussions (AFD) INFO

(EXTRACTED FROM FXUS62 KGSP 150736)


    At KCLT and Elsewhere: VFR conds thru the TAF period at all sites. A
    weak sfc bndry will be forced northeast as a strong ulvl jet core
    traverses the area. No good chance of precip with this feature as
    soundings show dry air thru the column. It will be hard to get clouds
    outside of passing Ci...but a few higher based Cu may develop east,
    including CLT, closer to the bndry. Winds will remain rather weak
    and back ne/ly to nw/ly over the non/mtns and a little  stronger
    while channeled nw/ly at KAVL.
    
    Outlook: Potential for short-lived restrictions on Sunday with rain
    showers. Otherwise, expect VFR as a series of dry cold fronts move
    through the area.
    
    Confidence Table...
    
    15-21Z        21-03Z        03-09Z        09-12Z
    KCLT       High  81%     High  82%     Med   68%     Low   56%
    KGSP       Med   70%     Med   75%     High  83%     Med   64%
    KAVL       High  94%     High  85%     Med   70%     High  87%
    KHKY       High 100%     High  83%     Med   66%     High 100%
    KGMU       Med   76%     High  86%     High  85%     Med   63%
    KAND       Med   76%     Med   65%     High  90%     Med   61%
    
    The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
    with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
    experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts
    are available at the following link:
    
    www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation