Document: 6860 | Created: 23:05 10/23/2019 UTC | Page: 01
Description: VOLC | Ash Cloud Forecast       | Darwin VAAC|
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FVAU01 ADRM 231625
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20191023/1630Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: DUKONO 268010
PSN: N0141 E12753
AREA: INDONESIA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1335M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/1103
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8, CVGHM
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: ORANGE
ERUPTION DETAILS: CONTINUOUS VA EMISSIONS TO FL070 EXTD W
OBS VA DTG: 23/1630Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL070 N0142 E12754 - N0153 E12712 - N0123
        E12716 - N0140 E12754 MOV W 5KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 23/2230Z SFC/FL070 N0142 E12753 - N0140
        E12754 - N0118 E12716 - N0145 E12710
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 24/0430Z SFC/FL070 N0140 E12754 - N0143
        E12753 - N0146 E12710 - N0114 E12720
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 24/1030Z SFC/FL070 N0142 E12754 - N0140
        E12755 - N0117 E12719 - N0144 E12710
RMK: VA CURRENTLY OBSUCRED BY MET CLOUD, STILL EXPECTED IN
        AREA. HEIGHT AND FCST BASED ON HIMAWARI-8 23/1600Z IMAGERY,
        MENADO 23/1200Z SOUNDING AND MODEL GUIDANCE. LIGHT AND
        VARIABLE WINDS REDUCE CONFIDENCE IN FCST.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20191023/2230Z

FVAU01 ADRM 232227
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20191023/2230Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: DUKONO 268010
PSN: N0141 E12753
AREA: INDONESIA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1335M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/1104
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: ORANGE
ERUPTION DETAILS: CONTINUOUS EMISSIONS TO FL070 EXTD W, LAST
        OBS 22/2310Z
EST VA DTG: 23/2230Z
EST VA CLD: SFC/FL070 N0142 E12755 - N0157 E12708 - N0137
        E12651 - N0140 E12754 MOV W 5KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 24/0430Z SFC/FL070 N0143 E12753 - N0139
        E12754 - N0134 E12653 - N0158 E12704
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 24/1030Z SFC/FL070 N0142 E12755 - N0157
        E12705 - N0128 E12657 - N0140 E12755
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 24/1630Z SFC/FL070 N0142 E12755 - N0139
        E12754 - N0118 E12656 - N0156 E12708
RMK: VA CURRENTLY OBSCURED BY MET CLOUD, STILL EXPECTED IN
        AREA. HEIGHT AND FCST BASED ON HIMAWARI-8 23/2210Z IMAGERY,
        MENADO 23/1200Z SOUNDING AND MODEL GUIDANCE. LIGHT WINDS AND
        MODEL VARIATION REDUCE CONFIDENCE IN FCST.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20191024/0430Z