Aviation Forecast Discussions Data
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(EXTRACTED FROM FXUS61 KBOX 081955)


    
    Forecaster Confidence Levels...
    
    Low - less than 30 percent.
    Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
    High - greater than 60 percent.
    
    Through 00Z...High confidence
    
    VFR conditions expected across southern New England. Only
    exception is at ACK where the IFR stratus is still slowly
    eroding. Still not out of the question there are scattered
    showers and an isolated thunderstorm across the Berkshires and
    potentially northern RI. If a storm moves through could briefly
    have IFR/LIFR conditions, but have held off from including a
    thunder mention in the latest update. Light E to NE winds, but
    coastal locations will see the sea breeze.
    
    Tonight...Moderate confidence
    
    VFR conditions anticipated everywhere except for the south
    coast and CT River Valley. Anticipate stratus and fog to advect
    into the south coast, while patchy radiation fog develops across
    the CT River Valley. Anticipating MVFR visibilities and
    potentially brief IFR across the CT River Valley. The south
    coast is a bit trickier, but thinking MVFR to LIFR conditions
    will develop. Lowest expected at ACK. Generally light and
    variable winds becoming SW late.
    
    Sunday...High confidence
    
    VFR with any stratus/fog lifting between 12-16Z. Taking the
    longest at ACK for conditions to improve. Light SW to S winds.
    Could see some gusts of 15 to 20 kts along the south coast
    during the afternoon.
    
    Sunday Night...High confidence
    
    VFR with light SW winds.
    
    KBOS Terminal...High confidence in TAF.
    
    KBDL Terminal...High confidence in TAF.
    
    Outlook /Monday through Thursday/...
    
    Monday through Tuesday: VFR.
    
    Tuesday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
    
    Wednesday through Wednesday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA, isolated
    TSRA.
    
    Thursday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA,
    isolated TSRA.