(EXTRACTED FROM FXUS62 KCAE 210641) Surface low over the north coast of SC will continue moving to the NE. Latest satellite nighttime microphysics enhancement indicates stratus wrapping counterclockwise around the low, moving west across the Pee Dee and into the eastern Midlands. Westward progress of the stratus may be impeded by low level wind flow gradually decreasing and backing to more of a light NW. Latest guidance and satellite loops indicate good chance of stratus, with IFR CIGs, affecting OGB, with MVFR CIGs possibly affecting CAE/CUB later. Elsewhere, mostly clear skies and light winds could promote fog at fog prone AGS. However, increasing mid and high level cloudiness later this morning could impede development or lead to improving VSBYS. Will monitor convection to our N and NW shifting southward. Latest high resolution models suggest possibility that convective cluster could hold together and shift S/SE towards AGS/DNL this morning. Will monitor progress of this activity. For now, will indicate VCTS at AGS/DNL later this morning until confidence of TSRA affecting those locations increases. Otherwise, next upper short wave and surface boundary to shift SE towards our forecast area late this afternoon and tonight and could promote additional convective development, some possible severe. Again, for now, will indicate VCTS late in the TAF period at all TAF sites until confidence warrants greater mention. EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...Scattered to numerous mainly afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms. Late night/morning fog/stratus possible.