Aviation Forecasts Discussions (AFD) INFO

(EXTRACTED FROM FXUS62 KGSP 161141)


    At KCLT and Elsewhere: No flight restrictions thru the period at all
    TAF sites. A broad area of high pressure will center over the region
    and keep skies generally clear outside of some passing Ci. Soundings
    show a very dry BL so no issues with VSBY or STCU during the morning
    hours. With non/mtn sw/ly flow...some increase in sfc dewpoints will
    be had...but not enough for Cu development. Increasing layered
    clouds aft 00z yet remaining VFR. Winds will remain rather weak with
    a loose p/grad and no sigfnt gust potential.
    
    Outlook: Potential for short-lived restrictions on Sunday with rain
    showers. Otherwise, expect VFR as a series of dry cold fronts move
    through the area.
    
    Confidence Table...
    
    15-21Z        21-03Z        03-09Z        09-12Z
    KCLT       High  81%     High  82%     Med   68%     Low   56%
    KGSP       Med   70%     Med   75%     High  83%     Med   64%
    KAVL       High  94%     High  85%     Med   70%     High  87%
    KHKY       High 100%     High  83%     Med   66%     High 100%
    KGMU       Med   76%     High  86%     High  85%     Med   63%
    KAND       Med   76%     Med   65%     High  90%     Med   61%
    
    The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
    with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
    experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts
    are available at the following link:
    
    www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation