Aviation Forecast Discussions Data
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(EXTRACTED FROM FXUS62 KGSP 200230)


    
    At KCLT and elsewhere: Expect VFR to prevail through most of the TAF
    period. Sfc high pressure will drift east off the New England coast
    tonight, with a developing coastal low allowing for moisture return
    to the eastern portions of FA on Wednesday. The NAM is still the
    most bullish on bringing a band of precip in from the south across
    the KCLT to KGSO areas Wed aftn into Wed night. But overall, still
    think that is overdone and that only some low VFR to MVFR cigs will
    affect CLT with this feature. All the precip is expected to remain
    east of our TAF sites. Otherwise, it should be SKC or FEW250 thru at
    least midday Wednesday with a light NE wind (SE at KAVL).
    
    Outlook: With a cold front pushing through the region from the west
    early on Thursday and a developing coastal low pres system, isolated
    showers and restrictions will be possible. Otherwise, expect VFR.
    
    Confidence Table...
    
    02-08Z        08-14Z        14-20Z        20-00Z
    KCLT       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
    KGSP       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
    KAVL       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
    KHKY       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
    KGMU       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
    KAND       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
    
    The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
    with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
    experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts
    are available at the following link:
    
    www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation

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