Aviation Forecasts Discussions (AFD) INFO

(EXTRACTED FROM FXUS63 KMPX 110512)


    (For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
    Issued at 1106 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2017
    
    Few changes made to 00z TAFs with incoming clipper. Still used a
    blend of the HRRR/LAV to bring this snow in. Expect primarily VFR
    conditions outside of the snowband until the arctic front comes
    through, which will provide us with MVFR and pockets of IFR in the
    CAA in its wake. Forecast soundings also show it being quite
    breezy with some 40kt gust potential, so did go a few kts above
    LAV guidance for winds.
    
    KMSP...Confidence is high in only p-type we will deal with is
    snow, and it will happen for all but 3 hours early in the 6z TAF
    period. Wind gust potential in the afternoon is up around 35 kts.
    We'll start clearing out the clouds in the afternoon, but as
    usual, confidence a bit low on timing on when improvements to VFR
    will occur.
    
    /OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
    Tue...VFR. Wind NW 5-10 kts.
    Wed...MVFR with chc -SN. Wind SE 5 kts mrng, NW aftn 10-15 kts.
    Thu...Chc MVFR. Wind NW 10-15 kts.